专题研究支柱中心 · 3 篇已发布简报
Volatility and Options research topics and source records from VolSurface Desk. Derivatives desk note examining the sharp inversion of the BTC and ETH term structure and 25-delta risk reversals as traders hedged tail risk during the $6.3 billion Binance exploit.
Derivatives desk note examining the sharp inversion of the BTC and ETH term structure and 25-delta risk reversals as traders hedged tail risk during the $6.3 billion Binance exploit.
Options desk note filed Sunday 25 October 2026 detailing raw and surface SVI (SSVI) calibration across SPX and NDX weekly expirations, Durrleman g(k) local density positivity, and wing slope constraints.
Volatility trading desk note filed 25 October 2026 ahead of the 28 October FOMC decision. Derives implied single-day event move from neighboring SPX option expiries and models post-event vanna/charm dealer re-hedging.
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Approximately $6.3 billion was drained across 10–11 blockchains in a 20-minute window, making it the largest crypto heist in history. Stablecoin issuers (Tether, Circle, Ripple, World Liberty Financial) and protocol security councils rapidly froze roughly $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion on-chain.
Preliminary investigations indicate the attackers compromised a DevOps engineer's laptop to access an internal service container connected to wallet-signing infrastructure, and used a single EIP-7702 smart-account delegation on Ethereum to sweep funds.
TRM Labs, Chainalysis, and Elliptic attributed the breach with high confidence to North Korea's TraderTraitor unit. On-chain investigator ZachXBT demonstrated that stolen funds routed through THORChain commingled in the exact same address cluster as the $388 million September 2026 Bitget exploit.
Co-CEOs Richard Teng and Yi He confirmed that 100% of losses are covered by the SAFU fund and corporate reserves, with withdrawals expected to resume within 48 hours. For VolSurface Desk, the core analytical focus is 7-day vs. 30-day ATM implied volatility backwardation, 25-delta put-call skew widening, and cross-exchange perpetual basis divergence.
This institutional desk note was filed on Sunday, 25 October 2026, calibrating risk, liquidity, and regulatory parameters ahead of the final trading week of October 2026.
By explicitly modeling tail-risk multipliers, balance-sheet shadow costs, and statutory filing tolerances, desks avoid under-estimating margin, reserve, or slippage bounds during event windows.